Comparing NBA power ratings, Vegas odds unveils potential value

Craig Williams

Comparing NBA power ratings, Vegas odds unveils potential value image

The NBA season is approaching its quarter point, and we can see the playoff picture beginning to take shape. By comparing the Don Best/Linemakers' power ratings with the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook's updated championship odds, we find profit potential for pro basketball bettors.

First, to provide a little background, the Don Best/Linemakers' power ratings are numerical values assigned to teams that intend to provide the basis for what the spread should be between two teams at a neutral site.

With that established, the Grizzlies (102.5 power rating, 14-to-1 odds to win title) and Mavericks (101.5, 14-to-1) stand out as potential value bets. The Western Conference is loaded, yes, but the Mavs and Grizz can make legit title runs.

Digging deeper, the Hawks (98, 50-to-1) and Nuggets (98, 100-to-1) are tied for 10th in the power ratings while owning long title odds. Denver warrants its dark horse status, but has a talented, high-scoring roster and is 8-2 over its last 10 games.  The Hawks are a solid team competing in the weak Eastern Conference, making a Cinderella run to the NBA Finals a reasonable possibility. 

DON BEST/LINEMAKERS POWER RATINGS AND CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS

RankTeamRatingChampionship oddsPrevious week
1San Antonio Spurs104.53-to-13-to-1
2Golden State Warriors1038-to-18-to-1
3Los Angeles Clippers10310-to-110-to-1
4Cleveland Cavaliers102.53-to-13-to-1
5Memphis Grizzlies102.514-to-120-to-1
6Dallas Mavericks101.514-to-112-to-1
7Toronto Raptors101.520-to-115-to-1
8Portland Trailblazers100.520-to-120-to-1
9Chicago Bulls99.57-to-18-to-1
10Atlanta Hawks9850-to-150-to-1
11Denver Nuggets98100-to-1100-to-1
12Houston Rockets9820-to-120-to-1
13Phoenix Suns9860-to-150-to-1
14Washington Wizards9820-to-115-to-1
15New Orleans Pelicans97.550-to-140-to-1
16Sacramento Kings97100-to-150-to-1
17Miami Heat95.540-to-140-to-1
18Oklahoma City Thunder95.510-to-120-to-1
19Indiana Pacers95300-to-1500-to-1
20Milwaukee Bucks95300-to-1300-to-1
21Brooklyn Nets94.560-to-150-to-1
22Boston Celtics93500-to-1300-to-1
23Charlotte Hornets93200-to-1100-to-1
24Los Angeles Lakers931000-to-11000-to-1
25Detroit Pistons921000-to-11000-to-1
26New York Knicks92200-to-1100-to-1
27Orlando Magic921000-to-11000-to-1
28Utah Jazz92500-to-1300-to-1
29Minnesota T'wolves90.51000-to-11000-to-1
30Philadelphia 76ers87.59999-to-19999-to-1

 

ODDS TO WIN EASTERN CONFERENCE (last week's numbers in parentheses if changed)
CAVALIERS 4-5 (even-money)
BULLS 9-4 (12-5)
WIZARDS 6-1 (5-1)
RAPTORS 6-1 (5-1)
HEAT 17-1 (18-1)
HAWKS 23-1 
NETS 25-1 (23-1)
KNICKS 80-1 (40-1)
HORNETS 80-1 (40-1)
PACERS 120-1 (200-1)
BUCKS 120-1 
CELTICS 200-1 (120-1)
PISTONS 400-1 
MAGIC 400-1
76ERS 4000-1

ODDS TO WIN WESTERN CONFERENCE
SPURS 8-5 
WARRIORS 9-2 
THUNDER 6-1 (11-1)
CLIPPERS 6-1 (11-2)
GRIZZLIES 8-1 (11-1)
MAVERICKS 8-1 (13-2)
ROCKETS 11-1 
BLAZERS 11-1
PELICANS 25-1 (20-1)
SUNS 35-1 (25-1)
NUGGETS 55-1 (50-1)
KINGS 60-1 (25-1)
JAZZ 300-1 (150-1)
WOLVES 600-1 (500-1)
LAKERS 600-1 (500-1)

Sign up for The Linemakers’ free newsletter and follow us on Twitter.

Craig Williams