Australia head to Kingston riding high after sealing the Frank Worrell Trophy with two dominant wins, and will now look to complete a 3-0 clean sweep over the West Indies in the third and final Test at Sabina Park.
Despite some inconsistency with the bat, Pat Cummins’ side has relied heavily on their world-class bowling unit to overpower the hosts. All eyes will be on left-arm quick Mitchell Starc, who is set to play his 100th Test, becoming just the second Australian fast bowler after Glenn McGrath to reach the milestone.
For the West Indies, led by Roston Chase, this day-night pink-ball Test starting July 12 (midnight IST on July 13) represents one last shot at redemption and pride, as they look to avoid a whitewash at home.
West Indies vs. Australia: Expected lineups
West Indies expected 11: Kraigg Brathwaite, John Campbell, Keacy Carty, Brandon King, Shai Hope (WK), Roston Chase (C), Justin Greaves, Anderson Phillips, Alzarri Joseph, Shamar Joseph, Jayden Seales
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Australia expected 11: Sam Konstas, Usman Khawaja, Alex Carey (WK), Steve Smith, Travis Head, Beau Webster, Pat Cummins (C), Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, Nathan Lyon, Cameron Green
WI vs. AUS: Head-to-head in Test matches
West Indies and Australia have faced off in 122 Test matches since their first meeting in 1930. Australia dominates the head-to-head series `with 63 wins, while West Indies have won 33 Tests. 25 matches have ended in a draw, and one ended in a rare tie.
On home soil, the Windies have hosted Australia in 52 Tests, with the visitors holding a clear edge, 23 wins to West Indies’ 14 wins with 15 draws. Notably, West Indies' only Test win against Australia since 2004 came in Brisbane during the 2023–24 series, which ended 1-1.
Matches Played - 122
West Indies won - 33
Australia won - 63
Draw - 25
Tied - 01
West Indies vs. Australia: Match predictions and betting tips
Australia will be looking to cap off their Caribbean campaign with a clean 3-0 sweep with the series already sealed. While the West Indies will be desperate to restore some pride in this final Test at Sabina Park. The pink-ball, day-night format adds another layer of intrigue, and with overcast conditions and seam-friendly pitch expected, bowlers are once again likely to dominate.
Match Prediction
Australia come in as firm favourites, having outclassed the West Indies in both previous Tests despite some wobbles with the bat.
Their lethal pace trio including Cummins, Starc, and Hazlewood coupled with Lyon’s control, have repeatedly exposed the fragile West Indies batting. With Mitchell Starc playing his 100th Test, expect the Aussie bowlers to come out firing.
For the West Indies, the bowling effort has been commendable, especially from Shamar Joseph (14 wickets) and Jayden Seales (10 wickets). However, their batting failures, particularly from senior players like Brathwaite and Hope, continue to be a headache. If they’re to avoid a whitewash, their top order must find answers quickly.
TSN’s Betting Predictions & Tips
- Match Winner: Australia to win
- Over/Under First Innings Score: Under 300 for West Indies if they bat first
- Value Bet: Total wickets in the match – Over 30 (given seam-friendly surface and weak WI batting)
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West Indies vs. Australia: Players to watch
Shamar Joseph (WI): Shamar Joseph has emerged as West Indies' most threatening fast bowler in this series. With his pace and aggression, he has consistently troubled Australia's batting lineup, taking 27 wickets at an average of 18 in just four Tests against Australia.
Mitchell Starc (AUS): Playing his 100th Test, Starc remains Australia's spearhead with the pink ball. His left-arm pace, swing, and ability to target the stumps make him exceptionally dangerous, especially under lights at Sabina Park.
Steve Smith (AUS): Now opening the batting for Australia, Steve Smith brings world-class technique and temperament. Though still adapting to his new role, Smith's ability to handle both pace and spin makes him a key figure at the top.
West Indies vs. Australia: Betting odds and Tips, 3rd Test Match
According to Dafabet, Australia are the favourites to win the 3rd Test, with odds of 1.16, reflecting their dominant performances in the series so far. In contrast, West Indies are major underdogs at 5.23, as they continue to struggle with both form and consistency.
Given the one-sided nature of the previous matches and Australia's settled lineup, backing the visitors for a series sweep appears to be the smart bet.
However, with the pink ball in play and unfamiliar day-night conditions, bettors should also watch for early movement and potential batting collapses making first-innings bowling markets worth exploring.
Odds | |
West Indies | 5.23 |
Australia | 1.16 |
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WI vs. AUS: Pitch and weather report
Sabina Park is set to host its first-ever day-night Test as West Indies take on Australia under the lights with the pink Dukes ball in play. The surface is expected to be on the slower side, which may offer some respite to batters after two bowler-dominated Tests.
The new ball is likely to pose significant challenges early in the innings, with both seam movement and swing on offer for pacers, especially under lights.
While the pitch traditionally offers pace and bounce, batters who survive the initial burst could find scoring easier as the ball softens. Historically, the average first-innings score at Sabina Park hovers around 315, indicating that runs are on offer for those who apply themselves.
As the match wears on, the pitch is expected to deteriorate slightly, making strokeplay more difficult but not necessarily bringing spinners into play, as spin has typically had limited assistance at this venue.
The weather could be a major factor in this final match. Overcast conditions are forecast throughout the weekend and into next week, and there's a high chance that rain could disrupt proceedings.
WI vs AUS 2nd Test Live Streaming: Where to watch in India?
The West Indies vs Australia 2nd Test will be streamed live on the FanCode app and website.